Alternative scenarios for the development of labour demand and ist qualification until 2025

Based on the existing macroeconomic model BIBB-DEMOS that is designed to project the future labour force disaggregated by age, sex, qualifications and occupation, three alternative scenarios for the development of employment and qualification in Germany until the year 2025 were developed. Beforehand, the BIBB-DEMOS model was updated taking into account the outcome of the discussions and projections of the German QuBe-syndicate (BIBB, IAB, FIT, GWS). Project sponsor was the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung). The projections until 2025 have been published and discussed in the recent National Report on Education as well as in a report of the German Council of Economic Experts.